(Alexander Kuptsikevich – FxPro Financial Services Limited)
Bitcoin jumped 8.5% to $23,300 on Tuesday, showing a 20.8% gain over the last seven days.
Ethereum is trading around $1570 on Wednesday morning, adding 3.4% in 24 hours and an impressive 49% for the week. The top altcoins are also rising nicely, adding between 3.9% (Polygon) and 11% (Cardano) for the day.
Total crypto market capitalisation, according to CoinMarketCap, rose 4.7% overnight to $1067bn.
Bitcoin on Tuesday posted its highest gains in a month on the back of a rebound in US stock indices and a weaker dollar. BTC has tested the highs since June 13 near $23,700, and on Wednesday, it is trying to consolidate above its 50-day moving average.
The dynamics near that line often acted as a reliable medium-term trend indicator. Only a strong buy above this level can serve as a firm reversal indicator in the next few days. If the upside momentum stalls, as it did in February and March this year, we should be prepared for a sharp increase in selling.
BTCUSD also exceeded the 200-week average during the last growth wave but fixing above this level at the end of the week should be considered a reliable signal.
The cryptocurrency Fear & Greed Index climbed to 31 by Wednesday after more than two months in “extreme fear” territory.
After waves of capitulation in May-June 2022, bitcoin quotes have been below the realised price for a month now. Other signals of a potential bottom forming have also emerged, Glassnode notes.
CryptoQuant, the research firm, has warned investors that further sales of BTC miners in a falling market could return pressure on prices.
Bitcoin’s longest ‘extreme fear’ streak finally breaks
Bitcoin (BTC) on Tuesday finally escaped the “extreme fear” zone after a whopping 73 days, coinciding with a 19% weekly increase in Bitcoin (BTC) as bulls make their way back to the market.
The Crypto Fear and Greed Index increased from “extreme fear” to merely “fearful” on July 19, reaching a score of 30 out of 100. It has gained slightly since then to the current index score of 31.
The Index analyzes the current sentiment of the overall crypto market, scoring between 0 to 100. The index is based on mainly on Bitcoin market volatility, volume and dominance, social media sentiment, surveys and search trend data.
On-chain metrics firm Santiment on Twitter noted that traders are “changing their tune” and are starting to look towards a long-term breakout of the cryptocurrency.
According to the firm, BTC’s average funding rate on exchanges has hit its highest levels in the last two months as BTC’s price rises above $23,600 — which could indicate a level of Fear of Missing Out (FOMO) is present.
Galaxy Digital CEO Mike Novogratz continues to tout optimism for the lead cryptocurrency, telling a Bloomberg conference on June 19 that he expects BTC to surge above $500,000 within the next 5 years.
This is a story of two things — it is about adoption and global economics. And while this is a bump in the road in adoption, it is certainly not a U-turn.
“We continue to see institutions […] that haven’t gotten involved yet, who see this as an opportunity,” he added.
Novogratz also believes “the worst has happened” and “now we’re rebuilding with a couple good days in a row. He also noted that there is “a good story with Ethereum and the Merge, the global macro markets are at max bearishness.”
On the other hand, Grayscale’s “Bear Markets in Perspective” report suggests that the current bear market may last for another 250 days.
Product-comparison platform Finder has made a similar prediction as part of a Bitcoin prediction survey on July 12, with five Fintech professionals at Finder and 53 industry experts suggesting that BTC will bottom out at $13,676 before making an uptrend towards $100,000 before 2025 and $300,000 by 2030.
Bitcoin is priced at $23,318 at the time of writing.